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Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. O/U wins: 91.5. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off Newcastle United vs Manchester City. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. I don't know why, though. The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-26, 26-7 home) return to Ohio on Saturday for an Eastern Conference affair with the lowly Detroit Pistons (15-48, 7-25 away) who are in the gutter of the conference standings. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. The pitching staff is worrisome. SEA . The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. But how does the model see it shaking out? MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. All rights reserved. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. There is potential in this team to over-perform its projections. Design and development by Jay Boice. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. 5 starter. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. Scorched. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. A complete list of this year's voters: . If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. Los Angeles Dodgers: +600. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. It's a win-win, really. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. All Rights Reserved. If Byron Buxton is healthy, he's one of the games' brightest stars, but that continues to remain a big "if.". AL Central predictions. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. LAA Los Angeles Angels. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. . The GB column is an abbreviation for Games Back and it shows how far teams are behind the leader of the division or put simply, first place. Mega Picker; . The rotation could be in tatters behind Zack Wheeler. The model isn't too favorable on them jumping right back into contention in 2022. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . You famously cannot predict baseball. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. But what the model really likes is the rotation. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 But it's easy to see them beat those projections. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. They've got that again in 2022. March 30, 2022. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. As for the Royals, 2022 is centered Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. Losing Carlos Correa hurts, its why were not projecting the Astros to win the AL pennant, but theres a real gap between Houston and its competition in the division. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. CHW Chicago White Sox. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. USA TODAY. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Here's what experts think. Standings. Maybe. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. Everyone should. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! 2023 Playoff Odds, . Nov. 4, 2022. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors March 1st, 2023. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. And the Cardinals were basically a .500 team last season, save for a 17-game winning streak in September. . Joey Votto continues to produce at a star talent, but heading into his age 38 campaign, the model expects some regression to take a toll. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. Chicago White Sox. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. The model works by using past player data to project how they will perform in 2022. Christian Yelich can only get better after . It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. The Mets committed nearly $500 million to free agents this offseason, re-signing Edwin Daz and Brandon Nimmo while also inking Justin Verlander, Kodai Senga and Jos Quintana to replace departed starters deGrom, Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. Three got there in both 2018 and 2017. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. The bottom line is the recent history of teams that ducked and dodged their way past unseemly run differentials to post winning records isn't rosy in the ensuing season. Projected AL East Standings: 1. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. Everyone wants to know who will win the World Series, and according to the model, the answer is Dodgers are the most likely champion. 7. FanGraphs Membership. Alek Thomas should make his debut at some point in 2022 to join fellow young bats like Ketel Marte, Daulton Varsho and Carson Kelly. There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. With Freddie Freeman joining the mix, the Dodgers are undoubtedly the best team in MLB. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. CLE Cleveland Guardians. Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. Close. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. 11m ago. Let's start things off with a prediction about one of my favorite players to target in fantasy baseball drafts. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect.