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We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. He is known for being a Baseball Player. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Let's take a look at Flaherty. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. His monitor score is only an 87. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. . Be the first one to comment on this story. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. . He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Enter your email address to get a new one. What injury? But theres a rhythm to the ritual. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Your email address will not be published. No harm. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. Your existing password has not been changed. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. But theres no alarm. Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Theyll defer. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. ago. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. And right now, he simply isnt there. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. 2020 has given us many. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason.