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Greg Abbott is maintaining a modest lead over Democrat Beto O'Rourke in the simmering race for Texas governor, though his road to victory could be . by Andrea Drusch April 26, 2022. Poll participant and Republican voter Kevin Culp, 60, of Rowlett said hes delighted Abbott has sent state National Guard troops to the border. . There could be another mass shooting. Alamo ceremony aside, Abbott generally shies away from raucous rallies in favor of local television appearances, which he does from a studio he had custom-built in his Austin campaign office. Roughly the same number of Texans say they are concerned about gun violence in their community. Larson argues the special sessions could have been opportunities to shore up the states power grid or address issues like healthcare and education, rather than injecting Texas into the national culture wars. Trump Approval Rating. I will abide by what the courts have decided, Abbott finally said. Abbott appears with former President Donald Trump at an event held near an unfinished portion of the border wall in Pharr, Texas, in June. . And even though Texas is becoming more urban and suburban, Democrats have struggled to win over Abbott voters. The survey was taken during the hubbub over a leaked draft opinion by U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito that would overturn Roe vs. Wade and allow states to decide abortion policy. He has been politically pretty fluid through the length of his governorship.. The margin of error for a sample of 1,232 registered voters in Texas is +/- 2.8 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is +/- 3.1 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval. Abbott's approval rating has slipped to 43%, and 26% of Texas Republicans disapprove of the governor's handling of the electric grid, according to the latest polling figures from the Texas Politics Project. AUSTIN (Nexstar) A new poll by the University of Texas and Texas Politics Project shows Gov. Thats essentially unchanged from the incumbents 45-38 lead over ORourke in February. Would you say that you" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable. But Abbotts ascent in Texas has coincided with the Republican Partys move toward Tea Party populism, then Trumpism, and unlike Perry and Bush, Abbott also has only led Texas when its been a one-party state. Republicans are betting that the Texas primaries will be the first step towards them retaking Congress in November, pointing to Mr Biden's low approval ratings, inflation and anger about the chaotic withdrawal . The governor devotes an enormous amount of time to the task, those who know him say, making donor calls himself armed with extensive notes. CNN . But Stephen Willeford, who was feted at the event for disrupting the deadliest mass shooting in Texas history with his AR-15, was still holding out judgment. Abbotts awkwardness in front of crowds emerged in flashes at the Alamo: The audience listened patiently as he made a clumsy connection between the forts 19th-century defenders and modern-day gun rights. I definitely dont like Beto.. Abbott spoke about how people crossing the border were invading Texas and described a scene of chaos at South Texas ranches. Abbott has a way of making even the most divisive, hot-button issues seem dull, signaling support for certain priorities while neutering their impact and that, too, is surely part of his success. Dan Patrick, Texas House Speaker Dade Phelan and the head of the National Rifle Association, Wayne LaPierre. This summer, Abbott is leaving nothing to chance in his effort to fend off the challengers and win over the undecideds. Delilah Barrios and Mark Tippetts, the gubernatorial nominees, respectively, of the Green Party and Libertarian Party, are each drawing 3%. According to a new poll from The Dallas Morning News and the University of Texas at Tyler, Abbott has a 7-point cushion over ORourke, unchanged from a similar survey in May. Texans who are not voting are actually across all the demographic groups, so that makes it harder for him to speak to one population and then quickly get to the result that he wants, he said. Februarys winter storm, which led to about $130 billion in lost output and damage, has barely dented Abbotts approval ratings. The poll also found that 37% of those surveyed said they would vote for O'Rourke if he ran against Abbott in 2022. The two Republican candidates were forced into a December runoff for the district, which stretches northwest of Dallas. By Isaac Stanley-Becker. Greg Abbott Approval (June 2022) Greg Abbott Issue Area Job Approval (April 2022) 2022 Gubernatorial Vote Intention: Greg Abbott vs. Beto O'Rourke (April 2022) . Dan Patrick has a 36% to 28% lead over Democrat Mike Collier, a rematch of their 2018 contest. When he paused, waiting for applause to die down, Abbotts brown eyes narrowed on his notes, and the deep grooves settled in his face. CORRECTION, 12:10 p.m. Aug. 14, 2022: An earlier version of the graphic contained the incorrect percentages for Black and white voters choices in the race for Texas governor. There was also overwhelming support 54% to 33% for expanding Medicaid to improve health care access, which the state has not done. On the states beleaguered foster care system, now a staple of Democratic candidate for governor Beto ORourkes stump speeches, voters by 60% to 39% lack confidence in state governments oversight. Texans feel a sense of economic uncertainty, even if most Texans assign blame to federal lawmakers for inflation.. Bob has covered state government and politics for The Dallas Morning News since 2002. The Democrats have lost congressional seats in the midterms every year this century, with the exception of 2002 after the September 11 terrorist attacks. Its a midterm election year with a Democrat in the White House. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Greg Abbott is doing as Governor? A Paradigm Partners poll published on Tuesday shows Abbott with just 32.52 percent support among likely Republican primary voters in the state, behind former Texas GOP chair Allen West on 38.36 . Russias war with Ukraine could also have deep political implications. Also, Bushs campaign of righteousness he predicts Paxton will be indicted by Bidens Justice Department before November and the continuing negative publicity about Paxtons legal troubles may be taking a toll on the two-term GOP incumbents November prospects. In contrast, voters slightly disapprove (49-47) of Abbotts job performance. Independents agree, 57-44. In December, the survey found a 49-41% split. Behind him, three rows of Texas lawmakers squeezed together on raised daises. Thats another crisis that Abbott survived, by pointing the finger at the states grid operator, even though his office failed to deliver warnings about the potential outages and his appointees failed to prevent the disaster. Hes constantly dodging attacks from the right. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Greg Abbott is doing as Governor? Greg Abbott: The Texas governor who cruised past a 2020 presidential contender, former Rep. Beto O'Rourke, to win his third term in November is unlikely to make any official 2024 moves until his . While 20% thought Abbott would win easily, only 4% believed ORourke would win easily. Do you want someone who will go into the arena and fight for you? Greg Abbott Job Approval: Public Education (February 2022) Support or Oppose: Requiring public school students and staff to wear masks when on campus (October 2021) With Trump's endorsement, Abbott has subdued threats from his right ahead of the 2022 primary. The same poll found Abbott's job approval rating up for the first time in a year, with 44% of . In Texas that never happens. AP. Greg Abbott Job Approval: Handling of Relations with the Texas Legislature (August 2021) How much have you heard about: Governor Greg Abbott's decision to call multiple special . News; Select Page. Abbott had been threatening to call a special session of the state legislature to pass election reform measures a promise he made good on days after our conversation. There have been six major mass shootings since Texas Gov. She not only has exactly the policy and legal background for this moment, when abortion rights are under attack, but she also is a young Latina from the Valley and is able to connect with a community of voters who are so often taken for granted, Brooks said. Abbott is a term-two incumbent with lots of money and wide name recognition. Twenty percent of respondents neither approve nor disapprove of Patrick. There is no way to sugar-coat it, says Ed Espinoza, executive director of Progress Texas, a progressive media group. But Royce Brooks, the former executive director for Annies List, a group that promotes the candidacies of progressive women, said the majority of Texans believing the state is on the wrong path is an opportunity for ORourke. Greg Abbott leading Beto O'Rourke in race for governor. And he likes the states ongoing offers of free bus rides to migrants released by federal authorities in Texas. Now a poll from The Dallas Morning News and University of Texas at Tyler shows that McConaughey as a . Building the wall in Texas, Abbott said, holding up the letter to the cameras, has officially begun. Abbott appeared to be searching for a dramatic moment. Thats what separates the good from the great. On June 1, the day after the regular Texas legislative session ended, he made two calls to Trump, according to a copy of the governors schedule; the former president endorsed Abbott that same day. Even February's winter storm, which led to about $130 billion in lost output and damage according to one estimate, has barely dented Abbott's approval ratings. About 10 minutes into the run, an oak tree fell on Abbott, paralyzing him permanently from the waist down. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. The 2022 Texas governor's race is already attracting a lot of attention, . In closing TV spots, Bush is highlighting Paxtons nearly seven-year-old indictment on securities fraud charges and allegations by whistleblowers that Paxton acted corruptly on behalf of campaign donor and real estate developer Nate Paul. The online and phone surveys were conducted in English and Spanish. A judge presiding over a federal class-action lawsuit over Texas foster care has urged the Abbott administration to heed experts recommendations on how to reduce the number of children sleeping in CPS offices and hotels. Abbott's job approval ratings have again begun to slide, just as they did during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021. Eli Hartman/Odessa American via AP, Bill Miller, founder of the lobbying firm HillCo Partners, which donated $55,000 to Abbotts reelection bid this year, says he knows that when Abbott calls, the governor will ask about his daughter, who, like Abbotts daughter, Audrey, attended the University of Southern California. Abbott, though, has been strategic about when he moves to the right, and just how far to go. He . This group of people, and then some, are going to make me the first Democrat to be governor of the state of Texas since 1994, Mr ORourke told supporters in Fort Worth, where in 2018 he flipped Texass largest Republican county.