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Thats an awfully elitist attitude, Tom. Tom, thanks for coming.TOM NICHOLS: Thanks for having me, Devin.DEVIN STEWART: So what is the death of expertise?TOM NICHOLS: It's really the death of the idea of expertise. The Supreme Court just made New York less safe. "Here, I'm smart, so do everything I say." Brexit, I guess, is going to happen, but you already see that they are stumbling toward it. Heres Ryan Busse, a former gun-company executive who has now taken on his former industry, talking about the day someone showed up to a hunting party with an AR-15: The unwritten rules of decency were enforced by firearm-industry leaders I witnessed how this worked many times, including one occasion when a young writer brought his own AR-15 to a hunting event I was hosting in 2004. Apparently, a TV series is in the worksso get started! 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There are some people, Smiley said at a dinner among young recruits to the Secret Service, who, when their past is threatened, get frightened of losing everything they thought they had, and perhaps everything they thought they were as well. It's a great book, and it has a funny cover too.TOM NICHOLS: I should tell you that the cover has all of these fake Twitter quotes on it. The two flaws are that the book does have a heavy American focus; the chapter about universities really talks about American universities. And that pertains to anything, whether it's writing or acting or singing or any human endeavor.DEVIN STEWART: But the metacognition is also the awareness that you don't have the expertise.TOM NICHOLS: That's right.DEVIN STEWART: So as long as you're self-aware enough to know that there is something lacking in your skill set or your knowledge base, that's the key. I am too scarred by the horrific outcome of the 2016 election to count any chickens, no matter how alive and clucking they might seem. And that had really just been a kind ofI don't have a blog anymore because I think blogs are part of the problem in the modern world. Like many famous people and celebrities, Tom Nichols keeps his personal life private. So I think it's a lack of empathy, and that many of them are not particularly good teachers. I have always trusted my fellow citizens with weapons. But because I teach at a military institution, I am a Defense Department employee and I am therefore bound by the Hatch Act, which prohibits government employees from using their positions for political purposes. Right. If Trumps minions were determined to curtail my constitutional rights, I was more determined to exercise them. And when there's something that happens, there's an investigation, and here's what we're doing, and here's the public report, and here's why it went wrong, and everybody can calm down." Instead, were bickering about masks. In the first season of Netflixs hit reality show Love Is Blind, Lauren Speed visits the Atlanta home of her new fianc, Cameron Hamilton. Tom Nichols. https://t.co/KzsJCSfQJ1, Soyour gripe is not the question, but who asked the question? MARCH 11, 2022, 6 AM ET. Artemy), Orthodox Prophecies: Vaccines Will Be Manipulated to Alter DNA and Destroy Free Will, Finally, Orthodox Church Music that Sounds Truly American, Greek Priest Foresees Unimaginable Satanic Evil Directed Against Children (Fr. Saying something that is technically true while leaving out additional facts and context with the obvious intent of misleading the viewer is sneaky and unethical. Donald Trump didn't create this, but he certainly weaponized it politically, just as Brexiteers did in the UK. My hometown was a military town, and almost all of the men I knew were veterans who owned weapons and knew how to handle them. This, apparently, somehow makes it logical to link illegal immigration with travel bans during a pandemic and not at all just the usual red-meat, nativist bullshit from Fox. There's much more of a hierarchical respect for expertise and education." https://t.co/FFboS7AVzl, Ellen Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) July 31, 2021. "TOM NICHOLS: Right. But the initial piece was a kind of a rant on my blog of "Why do people think they can explain Russia to me when they didn't know where Russia was three months ago?" I have not yet thought about a follow up or another edition. Other conservatives who spoke privately and sometimes publicly of Trump with utter contempt in 2016 buckled that November. Toms tinfoil hat must be cutting off the circulation to his brain. The best way I can put it is that 30 years later I started having the experience of instead of people saying, "Look, I'm very concerned about this, and here's what I want to tell you" or "Here's what I want to ask you," or "Here's what I want to challenge you about," people would simply say, "Tom, let me explain Russia to you," which is not even a conversation; that's a conversation stopper. Watch. Several people including me replied to him. I did not design the cover.DEVIN STEWART: Who knew that Oxford was hip and funny? First, we will always be able to say that when Trump and his thugs took over the Republican Party and then the elected branches of the United States government, we did not cut and run. How should we be thinking about what comes next? I grew up around guns; my father had been a police officer, and we had two of them. 803 were here. So I think there are some hopeful signs. We're just not. Her profession has nothing to do with it. I do political/policy PR on totally unrelated topics so Im therefore ineligible to petition my government on this one that impacts my family. Its about performative insecurity. Heres how to stop dating people who are wrong for you. https://t.co/dEoyBoLbaP, I tweeted him as the mother of a 6-month-old whose European relatives cannot come to America to see her. Dixie & Russia: What Do They Have in Common? They don't have to tell you what to do. You're not. First, recognize the problem. Just because Tom Nichols doesnt care doesnt mean no one else does. And experts need time to talk to you, to say "These are the things you need to watch out for." My older half-brother, who lived a few streets away, was a police officer. I think of this passage often, not only because I spent the first part of my career fighting (in my own small and mostly insignificant way) the Cold War, but also because I have spent the most recent part of my career fighting the possible rise of authoritarianism in my own country. Shutterstock / The Atlantic. CJ Ciaramella (@cjciaramella) July 31, 2021. relatives in Greece once posed me in a Greek Evzone-soldier costume with my uncle's hunting shotgun. Because again, I think that is a place whereyou asked me earlier about mistakes that experts make, and I thinkand I will include myself in thiswe do say: "Well, you know, I'm pretty smart. Tom Nichols asked Twitchy to do a post on his take on Gov. PissedOffLawyer (@PissedOffLawyer) July 31, 2021. McMaster's Carnegie Council talk in 2014, a few years before he became national security advisor in 2017.] By Tom Nichols Juan Carlos / Hans Lucas / Redux August 16, 2021 Kabul has fallen. I think that's where experts also get into trouble; we can be overly directive. It's about Fox's craptacular attempt to launder a GOP consultant's "question" as part of an interview with Wallensky. Well, because theyre trying to get you fired, my friend said. I think one of the things that has always made America a special place is that because of the way our country was founded we don't instantly defer to rank or to educational credentials or to class or achievement. French Voice Jury Marvel at Orthodox Seminarians' Breathtaking Performance, What is the Single Most Important, Most Beautiful Thing in Orthodox Christianity? It's right here. We believed otherwise, as a nation, because we wanted to believe it. Submit them on camera here by replying to this tweet on Twitter & you may just end up on @FoxNews. Many of us instead held firm and made the case for democracy and the rule of law from the right flank against our own tribe. This comment reveals the depths of the Republican Partys moral collapse. That's a no-no. He blames trends in higher education (such as focus on self-esteem and tolerance of narcissism leading to grade inflation and over-confidence in one's own abilities), the Internet, and the explosion of media options for the anti-expertise and anti-intellectual sentiment which he sees as being on the rise. Just give it up. But lets face it: President Trump ran on this. Naval War College and an adjunct at the Harvard Extension School. I actually thinkand I talk about this in the bookof the two types of decision-makers, the two types of experts; foxes and hedgehogs. This is an edition of The Atlantic Daily, a newsletter that guides you through the biggest stories of the day, helps you discover new ideas, and recommends the best in culture. It was me. Numerous articles have come out in recent weeks questioning the sudden increase in "Jeopardy!" players with winning streaks, and Tom Nichols, a five-time champion of the long-running game show, believes he has the answer.. Nichols joined Boston Public Radio on Thursday to share why he believes the show should consider retooling its rules to limit repeat . Tom standing in a podium. @redsteeze backs conspiracy theorist and projection artist Tom Nichols into a moral and intellectual corner https://t.co/JCFkLsEGUr, Twitchy Team (@TwitchyTeam) August 2, 2021. Ellen Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) July 30, 2021. With the localized and the national effect of this scorn toward expertise you probably get this question all the time, but does this attitude that you're describing in your book partly or fully explain where we are today in American politics?TOM NICHOLS: It does partly, and this is where I should also point out that I don't speak for the Navy or the War College. "TOM NICHOLS: "I nailed it." Well, and also, that Baiee added an inflammatory linking of two issues that the original questioner says did not have in the question which that we would not have known because the question was laundered through the host. So, to recap, Baier asked a planted question, added something the person who planted it claims she didn't intend, while a friend of the planter then says she *did* intend it. He is also a five-time undefeated Jeopardy champion. He is the author of The Death of Expertise (Oxford 2017), Eve of Destruction (2008), No Use: Nuclear Weapons and US National Security (2013), He is currently a Senior Associate of the Carnegie Council on Ethics and International Affairs, a Senior Fellow of the Graham Centre for Contemporary International History at the University of Toronto, and The Russian president is frantic and lashing out in defeat. How Long Would the US Navy Survive in a Shooting War? Stop using me to make a point about Fox. [Editor's note: See H.R. The purpose of my life was to end the time I lived in., With a bit more pensiveness, Smiley adds: Or perhaps our troubles are just beginning.. People have actually raised this with me, saying: "Gee, in Asia is this a problem? "DEVIN STEWART: "Nailed it. Homosexuals Persecuting Christians in America - Do You Feel The Walls Closing In? People who have talked about talking to him just say it's impossible to brief him because he just doesn't have a very long attention span. When U.S. forces had to endure the misery of the retreat from North Korea back to the 38th parallel, no one made the argument that it had happened because of the voters. No candidate can. That was the big change. Tom wouldnt know about using his platform to help anyone. As it turned out, even before the Breitbart story dropped, my employer had already determined that I had not violated any laws or regulations. To change your comments display name, click here. ), What I remember about guns is that I remember almost nothing about guns. These five COVID numbers dont make sense anymore. "DEVIN STEWART: So the ancient wisdom of "know thyself," [Ancient Greek aphorism] maybe the ancients were onto something back then?TOM NICHOLS: There is a reason we should all still be reading Shakespeare, exactly. #LoveIsNotTourism https://t.co/3C7zMNiUfV, Note: my note to Bret was about Europeans not being allowed in while people are coming from countries that had worse vaccination administration rates and more prevalence of COVID-19. Its so sad that someone wouldnt assume that a mother would love her child and her in-laws so much that shed spend day and night trying to find ways to change public policy so their family can be reunited. What to do about the deadly misfits among us? Planting a question by asking it publicly on Twitter along with dozens of other people in the #LoveIsNotTourism movement. A few needed law enforcement to step in because of threats to their lives and to their families. I think the Russians will try to manipulate the White House into moving further and further away from NATO, perhaps without the White House even realizing that that's what is happening, because the Russians are way better at this game than anybody in Washington in power right now. I was wrong. DEVIN STEWART: Wow. Incredibly screwed up. Thats Tom Nichols in a nutshell. I believe that if all of us had caved, Trump would now be much closer to victory, not just at the polls, but over the Constitution itself. Besides, the fight among the conservatives was mostly brewing in Washington, D.C., and I was a middle-aged professor living on the quiet shores of Rhode Island. Tom drawing attention to the travel bans cruelty is definitely a silver lining. DEVIN STEWART: I'm Devin Stewart here at Carnegie Council in New York City, and I'm speaking today with Tom Nichols. You've witnessed this around the world, as well, in Asia and Europe, this phenomenon of scorn toward the elite and toward expertise. For a guy whose beef is not with Ellen Carmichael, Tom Nichols sure has spent a lot of time talking about Ellen Carmichael. You can see I was kind of working out this idea in my head. If they chose to stay, they were warmongers intent on pursuing forever war. And so here we are, in the place we were destined to be: resting on 20 years of safety from another 9/11, but with Afghanistan again in the hands of the Taliban. First, insofar as that populist fever seems to have overtaken people running down blind alleys. And now those same Americans have the full withdrawal from Afghanistan they apparently want: Some 70 percent of the public supports a pullout. I was at my church's annual Greek festival, about to grab some souvlaki and baklava with my young daughter, when my phone rang. But mostlyI would say overwhelmingly the letters I've gotten are from professionals, from doctors. Kristi Noem going to Sturgis while Kabul falls so here it is Rep. Adam Schiff takes to TikTok to cry about being kicked off the. By Tom Nichols. Breitbart claimed I was breaking that law. Disgusting. Show your support by disabling ad-block (How), Buy AD-FREE ACCESS here, for only $19 / yr. Disabling adblock for a specific site just takes a couple of clicks. Now I was accused of legal wrongdoing for expressing my political views as a private citizen. I think that Russia's larger goal is to divorce the United States from NATO and to take NATO apart. He writes about international security, nuclear weapons, Russia, and the challenges to democracy in the United States and around the worldalong with occasional contrarian views on popular culture. It was the generically intelligent guys like McNamara saying: "I ran a car company. Naval War College. People would say, "Well, heres what I think about arms control." That summer, I sat down with my wife and members of my family. It's not okay for a news network to scrub that same stuff from a political consultant and then present it as "man on the street" opinion from someone whose job is to shape opinion. The Foreign Affairs piece from last March, if folks want to take a look at that, is a digested version of the book; that is kind of the book in microcosm.DEVIN STEWART: What's the title of The Federalist one?TOM NICHOLS: It was called "The Death of Expertise. But yes, 2016 was the year in which the anti-expertise or the death-of-expertise phenomenon became weaponized in politics.DEVIN STEWART: Since a lot of people seem to sympathize with the hate toward experts and people who areI remember Rush Limbaugh used to call them "pointy-headed intellectuals." The problem was that, once the initial euphoria wore off, the public wasnt much interested in it. Nothing is perfect, and risks are never zero. https://t.co/YlB0iugVPz, Correct. The second best result is Tom Nichols age 60s in Mount Sterling, KY. The soldiers who served overseas in those first years of major operations soon felt forgotten. Tom is related to Jill Renea Nichols and Amanda Rea Broome as well as 2 additional people. A shroud is settling over the dreams many of us had at the end of the 20th century. Some had even signed letters during the election saying that theyd never work for Trump, but when he won, they groveled and asked for just one more glimpse of the throne. Meh. https://t.co/EYxkliEueO. 212-838-4120 That's kind of a hedgehog; that's somebody who knows something very deeply and very narrowly, and that does not mean that you're good at everything. TOM NICHOLS: Yes. We will continue to update information on Tom Nichols's parents. Tom Nichols Owner at 4 Elements Group and JTCO LLC. Period. The people I care most about in the world all told me the same thing: Fight. Use your critical thinking skills. Sarah Longwell: Why people who hate Trump stick with him. Many Americans will bristle at the idea that this defeat overseas can be laid at their feet. The fact, however, is that Europe has far more robust testing and vaccination efforts (and lower incidence of COVID) than other countries whose citizens CAN come to America, like Turkey and Indonesia. "DEVIN STEWART: And that's a fact.TOM NICHOLS: That's empirically demonstrable; 99 percent of day traders go broke.DEVIN STEWART: Going back to the U.S. foreign-policy establishment, play us through a scenario here. What's different now?TOM NICHOLS: As I said, when I first started out, I was a Russia guy, Soviet Union. Katherine Hu contributed to this newsletter. (Ill plead one personal exemption: When I was a little boy, relatives in Greece once posed me in a Greek Evzone-soldier costume with my uncles hunting shotgun. We all paid for our dissent, in various ways. Quinta Jurecic and Benjamin Wittes: The revenge of the Never Trumpers. The election of Petr Pavel is important to Czechsand to Americans. But I think that something has changed in that, and I think that now people are not just suspicious of experts or feel the need to test them, they're actively hostile to experts, and they feel that they know as much or more than experts, which is really kind of an astounding claim.DEVIN STEWART: How did that new hostility come into place? Then, that summer, I wrote a piece on how I became a Never Trumper for The New York Times Magazine. Now I dont feel that one bit. Yes, the founders of the anti-Trump Lincoln Project are now taking in lots of donationsbut that was after burning personal and financial bridges to the Republican Party that sustained them and built their handsome homes over the years. Our current alliances with our liberal friends may not be a permanent realignment. What's the risk here, for example, in U.S. foreign policy? Right on brand. And it's humbling. Were holding super-spreader events. A serious peoplethe kind of people we once werewould have made serious choices, long before this current debacle was upon them. But I also think lay people have to let go of the kind of poisonous talk radio tropes about how experts are the enemy and mean to do you harm and are just trying to line their pockets, and to recognize that we all do live in the same community and in the same society and that we really can take expertise and common sense and wed them together to return to something like the country we used to be, I hope.DEVIN STEWART: So "be nice to one another" is ancient wisdom.TOM NICHOLS: Know thyself.DEVIN STEWART: Know thyself and be nice.TOM NICHOLS: And the Golden Rule, yes. That's normal. DEVIN STEWART: A couple more questions, Tom. Seeing someone such as Senator Ben Sasse of Nebraska or the ever-troubled Senator Susan Collins of Maine rediscover their voices now that the die seems to be cast is not particularly inspiring. Never have so many people had access to so much knowledge, and yet been so resistant to learning anything. I could . Another example I can give you is when I went to a golf coach once. Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) July 31, 2021. What I think we're getting with a lot of the folks in this administrationand I hope I'm wrongare people who have kind of a generally smart record in some very narrow areas like finance or manipulation of money in New York City and saying, "Well, that makes me smart." Baier was understandably puzzled as to why Nichols was getting so bent out of shape: I asked a lot of questions Tom-that 1 was from a viewer who was concerned about migrants coming across the southern border while restrictions prevent their family from getting together. "Well, of course, North Korea is like this," or "Of course, global climate change looks like that," or "Of course, macroeconomics, how can you be so stupid as to not understand that?" Is there any hope?TOM NICHOLS: Yes. [3], "These are dangerous times. He is a professor emeritus of national-security affairs at the U.S. I did get onea story I always tell out here on the roadfrom a molecular biologist in France, saying "thank you," and I thought, Wow! BREAKING: Defining Moment for Putin: Stand up to US/Israel Empire of Chaos, or Fold? She cant restore sanity to the GOP. The US Outspends Russia 10X On Military, But They Are Equals. Using the power of ethics to build a better world, [emailprotected] The GOP strategy of acclimatizing us to scandal is still working. People always freak out about plane crashes, and understandably so. https://t.co/qIvLRlc7ir. Choices made at the ballot box reflect the values and beliefs of the people casting those votes, which is why Election Day itself is often less important than what took place on all the other days before it. Tom: This has everything to do with Ellen. I suppose I'm not really supposed to sit here and say that. There were a lot of professionals who reached out to me to basically say "Thank you for writing this." https://t.co/cREfoKUABJ, Stephen L. Miller (@redsteeze) August 2, 2021, A question from a political consultant whose identity he turned into "a viewer" and then according to *her* added material to the question that wasn't hers. If that doesnt work this wikihow article gives more detail: https://www.wikihow.com/Disable-AdBlock, Page likes, content likes, and shares = GROWTH, Join us! He is speaking to them and for them, and declaring that he and his kind are better and have a right to rule over us. Or alternately, that crushing moment of saying, "Wow, I can't believe I'm this bad of a writer." But interestingly enough, I think, again, it's that problem of metacognition. And all the guys in the bar are going, "Yeah, you're awesome, dude. No one other than Ellen Carmichael is asking about banned travel from Europe. What the public does care about, however, is using Afghanistan as raw material for cheap patriotism and partisan attacks (some right and some wrong, but few of them in good faith) on every president since 2001. Well, to be fair, Tom Nichols literally has nothing better to do with his time. If youre inclined to play video games, New Vegas is a kitschy, retro-sci-fi experience featuring some great old music andI am not kiddinga cast that includes Wayne Newton. The second thing is that because lay people are so hostile to expertise, experts go into a kind of defensive crouch about ever admitting their mistakes. No one turned to the American people during the fall of Saigon and said, This is on you.. It is a real and outrageous situation and the fact that Tom would make . Along with almost every member of the elite class. But courage exercised only when the coast is clear is not courage; it is opportunism. I think this is a huge part of the climate change debate problem, is that you have a lot of very intelligent scientists who are saying: "Here are some things we've discovered that we think are true. I always think of the worst math teacherI never much cared for math, which was strange because I was a science major for a whileI ever had was terrible because she could not remember a time when mathematics was not obvious to her. Republican political consultant Ellen Carmichael is one of many Americans struggling to understand the scientific reasoning behind that decision. I wouldnt wish this situation on my worst enemy. I could barely lift it.). Naval War College and an instructor at the Harvard Extension School. Some sent messages telling me that they looked forward to my official execution or other versions of my untimely death. We want to reunite with our family kept apart by an unscientific, cruel travel ban. And I think experts fall into that. But win or lose, our goal will become something else. The Death of Expertise: The Campaign Against Established Knowledge and Why it Matters is a 2017 nonfiction book by Tom Nichols. I was a founding member of the band of Republican defectors known as the Never Trumpers, and one way or another, the times I have lived inthe movement to protect American democracy from Donald Trump and to stop his reelectionwill come to an end in November. I want to think more about how to make this better rather than to keep plumbing the depths to find out how bad it is. I became intimately familiar with the Hatch Act and its provisionsand I obeyed it far more scrupulously than anyone in the Trump White Housebut that did not stop the regular waves of emails and phone calls over the next four years, usually spurred by some Trump-supporting website or talk-show host, demanding that I be fired. Seraphim Rose, UKRAINE: Homosexual Movement Is Key to Understanding the War, I Wasn't a Debt-Free Virgin Before Marriage - Here's What I Learned the Hard Way, Russian Beauty and Christian Fashion - It's Stunning, Why Russian Women Still Cover Their Heads in Church (Hint: It's in the Bible). Will knows the person (me) because he is a personal friend. That's kind of weird. This kind of affirmation of cultural norms can be a lot more powerful than any law, and I suspect that the gun-culture extremists know it. Who are the experts who are laying out the possible snares and traps here to warn the president about "This is what it's like to talk to the Russians; these are the things"? While conceding that experts do sometimes fail, he says the best answer to this is the self-correcting presence of other experts to recognize and rectify systemic failures. A political scientist who has taught for more than a decade in the Harvard . Tell me about some of these letters that you're getting from all over the world. I said @BretBaier laundered your question as if you were a random viewer, which is a no-no. Tom: This has nothing to do with you, Ellen! It's lacking senior positions; it's lacking advice. A lot of things happen out of the view of the ordinary citizen thateven when Richard Hofstadter wrote his book on anti-intellectualism in American life back in the 1960s, he was already pointing out that the average citizen can't really comprehend the amount of stuff that goes on in a given day around them. Theyve earned it.) You can be angry with the Court for furthering and enabling this weirdness, but its not the Courts fault. Seraphim Rose Discusses the Jewish Question - Protocols of the Elders of Zion, Englishman Drives Off Satanists and Rescues a 1000-Year-Old Church, When Knights Surrender Their Sword The Problem of Effeminate Men, Married at Age 16, Has 11 Children, Loves Her Husband, Lives in Russia, VIDEO: A Legendary American Monk Who Inspired Christians in Russia - Fr.