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Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. These are general election results for the years listed. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Not one! Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. It is not a red state. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. I think it's the state to watch. He held his own in . Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Explained! With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . We identify swing states as. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. All three of those states were very close in both elections. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. But registration figures vary greatly by county. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. #V. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Success! And West Virginia is losing. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Is Missouri a red state? Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. What are red and blue states? And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. (PA, GA, MI)". All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. What determines a state's "color"? Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Electoral votes invalidated. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. More than a . Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Sorry Marc. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. But I've got news for them, too. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Which ones are more politically competitive? The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. How red or blue is your state? POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. 2020 Electoral Map Results. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. Dec. 10, 2020. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Anita What do you want to know? To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. I don't know where to begin! Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Press Enter to view state-level map. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. You have entered an incorrect email address! Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom.